Optimistic Scenario
Java becomes a better Grande (HPCC) programming environment than Fortran and C++
High speed networks become pervasively deployed
Microsoft does not win -- some combination of IBM Sun Netscape (…) stops the advance of NT, COM, Internet Explorer, ChromeEffects ...
The Web remains a creative open environment
Supercomputers remain a small market but do not entirely disappear -- they may become “just” clusters
Technical computing (on supercomputers and below) continues to be important but problems become complex with linked databases and linked multiple disciplines