HELP! * GREY=local LOCAL HTML version of Foils prepared 31 January97

Foil 50 Scenarios' Dynamics

From Future of Multimedia Internet Systems CPS640 MultiMedia and WWW -- Spring 97 Semester. by Marek Podgorny * See also color IMAGE
Most experts believe that we are in currently on the path from Slow Boat to Upstairs, Downstairs.
  • They agree that if the next 7-8 years are "blocked" - if there is little progress in the economy, the setting of standards, etc. - we could end up in Slow Boat at the millennium.
As the economy gets better, we will tend to move from Slow Boat toward either BizWorld or Virtual World.
To get to Virtual World, we will pass through Upstairs, Downstairs unless there is sufficient and benevolent government intervention allowing us to bypass Upstairs, Downstairs.
  • Without the proper government intervention, the question is only the duration of our passage through Upstairs, Downstairs. Indeed, if it is very long, we could find ourselves in Upstairs, Downstairs at the turn of the century, still on our way to Virtual World, but stuck still in a polarized world.

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