Basic HTML version of Foils prepared 22 February 97

Foil 7 Scenario Overview - Intelligence Situation

From Command and Control Application Rome Lab Quarterly Review for CIV -- October 1 96. by Jack Kantak, Preston Marshall--Vanguard Research Inc. *

1 Simulated Intelligence report
2 States emergence of threat
3 Establishes the context for all remaining activity
4 CLASSIFIED
5 TO: Members of the Concept Action Group
6 FROM: Director, Intelligence
7 Subject: Emergence of Immediate Terrorist State Threat to North
8 America
9 This memorandum outlines recent intelligence information that has
10 been made available to this organization.
11 A terrorist state, supported by a know multi-state terrorist group
12 has obtained, and is planning to use, a crude missile capability.
13 This capability consists of a turbo-prop airliner (a Beech 1900 commuter
14 plane) with Global Positioning System (GPS) navigation and autopilot.
15 With the fuel it has been modified to carry, it is capable of launching
16 from the middle east and reaching North America.
17 Our information is that the aircraft will carry weapons of mass
18 destruction, of either a chemical or biological nature. We have
19 confirmed that they have probably obtained both types, and have the
20 willingness to use them.
21 Their intent is to demonstrate that they can hold the entire
22 population of both the U.S. and Canada at risk, and to retaliate for
23 perceived interference with allied ethnic interests in the Balkans. We
24 believe that they intend to attack a target in North Western New York,
25 to threaten Canada, and target deployment support resources at Fort
26 Drum.
27 It is important that all involved understand that it is possible that
28 interception of this aircraft will have a significant impact on the
29 surrounding populations. The agents present in this weapon may not be
30 destroyed in an interception, and could be even more widely distributed.
31 Of course we will pass on any additional information we obtain to the
32 Group.

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