Problems with this application of Bayes Theorem are that:
a) is not a random variable---it only takes one value.
Answer: Our knowledge of can be considered as a random variable.
b) What is ? We will discuss this so called a priori knowledge
of B later on---it essentially summarizes all previous (other) knowledge of
gained from previous (other) experiments.
c) What is ? The probability of measurement of
given any possible .
Nobody knows what this is!
You essentially determine it by normalizing
or equivalently note that relative probabilities