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Example of Birth/Death
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Basic Birth Process
General Birth and Death Process
Consider (Feller, p. 404) a system with a denumerable number of states
whose probability of occupation varies with
t
.
For Poisson
is ``we have observed
n
events.''
Note only one
occupied at a time
and
chance
of a transition
.
This is a pure birth process.
We can generalize
to
: a function of
n
and
t
.
Also, we can have death processes which also allow relapses
to
with chance
. So:
We can, at once, derive a similar differential equation for
: the probability of system being in state
.
with
and
so that above is still correct with
n=0
.
Geoffrey Fox
,
Northeast Parallel Architectures Center
at Syracuse University,
gcf@npac.syr.edu