Basic HTML version of Foils prepared 8 January 98

Foil 33 Overall Remarks on the March to PetaFlops - I

From General NPAC Foils-B starting June97(PowerPoint) Beijing and Chang Sha China -- 28 Dec 97 to 5 Jan 98. by Geoffrey C. Fox


I find study interesting not only in its result but also in its methodology of several intense workshops combined with general discussions at national conferences
Exotic technologies such as "DNA Computing" and Quantum Computing do not seem relevant on this timescale
Note clock speeds will NOT improve much in the future but density of chips will continue to improve at roughly the current exponential rate over next 10-20 years
Superconducting technology is currently seriously limited by no appropriate memory technology that matches factor of 100-1000 faster CPU processing
Current project views software as perhaps the hardest problem



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