Given by Geoffrey C. Fox at IDA Presentation on October 31,1994. Foils prepared April 9,1995
Abstract * Foil Index for this file
This presentation was central part of a presentation given by Geoffrey Fox to the Institute of Defense Analysis on Halloween Day 1994. It was backed up by World Wide Web resources listed on next foil and some older foils collected together in another foil set (labelled IDA1 -- "Background"). The purpose of the presentation was to indicate how valuable Department of Defense applications of HPCC could be built in dual-use fashion as companions to the civilian enterprise. We also discussed areas where the civilian driving forces were not sufficient to advance use of HPCC fast enough. These included Manufacturing and other simulation activities. |
This table of Contents Abstract
InfoMall -- The Virtual Corporation for |
HPCC Software and System Development |
Institute for Defense Analysis Meeting |
October 31,1994 |
Geoffrey C. Fox |
Northeast Parallel Architectures Center |
111 College Place |
Syracuse University, Syracuse, NY 13244-4100 |
315.443.2163 |
gcf@npac.syr.edu |
This presentation was central part of a presentation given by Geoffrey Fox to the Institute of Defense Analysis on Halloween Day 1994. It was backed up by World Wide Web resources listed on next foil and some older foils collected together in another foil set (labelled IDA1 -- "Background"). The purpose of the presentation was to indicate how valuable Department of Defense applications of HPCC could be built in dual-use fashion as companions to the civilian enterprise. We also discussed areas where the civilian driving forces were not sufficient to advance use of HPCC fast enough. These included Manufacturing and other simulation activities. |
Specialized Foils on Dual-Use issues for HPCC DoD Applications |
List of 33 Broad HPCC Application Areas coming from InfoMall Survey of New York State Industry |
Set of Anecdotal Comments on various Industries gathered in Survey |
Set of Computer Science Comments on Applications
|
Set of Application Related Comments and Elaborations |
Link to Federal Programs and Guidelines
|
Links to World Wide Web Pages describing HPCC activities Internationally
|
List of InfoMall members and their relevant Expertise |
Link to National Software Exchange for Detailed HPCC Technology Issues
|
This approach is built around observation that in today's shrinking defense budgets, military products must share wherever possible hardware software and maintenance components with civilian arena |
Rapidly changing technologies accentuate the importance of this approach
|
The same philosophy encourages multi-use or modular or component approach to produce reusable technologies and applications for several civilian and military applications
|
A Real Example: Need a data-base system for a military vehicle which will remain nameless
|
Thus resultant system cannot be improved, is a factor of 100 slower than best civilian alternative, and DoD must pay contractor to maintain system for next 20 years |
In spite of the large and very succesful national activity, simulation will not be a large "real world" sales opportunity for MPP's
|
However some areas of national endeavor will be customers for MPP's used for simulation
|
Some areas which may adopt HPCC for simulation in relatively near future
|
The role of HPCC in Manufacturing is quite clear and will be critical to
|
On the other hand for
|
Return on Investment Unclear:
|
The Industry is in a very competitive situation and focussed on short term needs |
In March 1994 Arpa Meeting in Washington, Boeing(Neves) endorsed parallel databases and not parallel simulation
|
Aerospace Engineers are just like University Faculty
|
There is perhaps some general decline of Supercomputer Industry
|
MAD (Multidisciplinary Analysis and Design) links:
|
(Includes MDO -- Multidisciplinary Optimization) |
Link Simulation and CAD Processes
|
This is really important application of HPCC as addresses "Amdahl's Law" as we use HPCC to support full manufacturing cycle -- not just one part! Thus large improvements in manufacturers time to market and product quality possible. |
BUT must change and even harder integrate:
|
The limited nearterm industrial use of HPCC implies that it is critical for Government and DoD to support and promote |
DoD Simulation: Dual-Use Philosophy implies
|
Manufacturing Support can lead to future US Industry leadership in advanced HPCC based manufacturing environments 10-20 years from now
|
An HPCC Software Industry is essential if HPCC field is to become commercially succesful |
The HPCC Simulation market is small |
This market is not used to paying true cost for software
|
There is a lot of excellent available public domain software (funded by federal government) |
Small Businesses are natural implementation of HPCC Software Industry
|
Two InfoMall Success Stories
|
Anecdotes from Thinking Machines (TMC) April 94 before the fall
|
Anecdote from Digital September 94:
|
These can be defined simply as those HPCC applications which have sufficient market to sustain a true balanced HPCC computing Industry with viable hardware and software companies
|
Alternatively one can define National Challenges by the HPCC technologies exploited
|
Crisis and Emergency Management
|
Design and Manufacturing |
Education and Lifelong Learning |
Electronic Commerce |
Energy Management |
Environmental Monitoring |
Health Care |
The National Challengies have been correctly identified as the the major HPCC opportunity and there is a |
Reasonable list of targeted Government areas BUT |
The Entertainment and Consumer Information Industry will set the standards and drive the technology |
One must set up collaborations with:
|
Health Care and Electronic Commerce may be large enough areas to sustain their own enterprise but some such as |
Military Command and Control and Education are not |
However the GII (Global Information Infrastructure) will force common standards and one canNOT go it alone in any area! |
So Dual-use or Multi-use development of modular HPCC technologies, services and applications essential |
Command and Control (C2 , C4I, BMC3IS ) is largest HPCC Opportunity in DoD |
It is Dual-Use to the NII and Large Scale Database Decision Support Applications which will dominate the civilian use of HPCC |
This Dual-Use approach to Command and Control demands the Global Grid Concept at the low (hardware) level |
There will not be a separate DII (Defense Information Infrastructure) just as there is not a separate Interstate Highway System for DoD Vehicles |
Even if you built the DII, the commercial GII will always have much higher bandwidth and so one would want to use it |
The Communications System used in International Wartime Command and Control will be the commercial Global Information Infrastructure(GII) augmented by
|
Clearly Global Grid is essential and Critical Underlying Concept for Dual-Use Command and Control which needs major attention by DoD |
An Anecdote: Similar cost arguments says that communities should not develop the NII separately for Public(Government) Information, Health Care and Education
|
Basic InfoVision Service is Tens of thousands of hours of Digital Video with Index (Video Browsing) formed from
|
Educational application uses Reuters and CNN News services as an online resource to support social studies, science and foriegn language classes |
Medical Application stores Echo Cardiograms and other video material digitally as Online support for telemedicine
|
Government Application uses multimedia data from world news services to support political decisions.
|
Defense applications stores combat videos to allow commanders to access and plan missions |
Basic InfoVision Service is a set of Images stored in Multiresolution (Kodak Photo-CD) format indexed by:
|
Cutural application stores all the photographs and pictures in museum
|
Commercial enterprise has set of Images you can choose and edit for T-shirts on demand |
Medical Application uses Image Processing to screen images to find those which surgeons need look at for potential pathologies |
Defense application identifies targets for missions and in real-time for weopens |
Basic InfoVision Service is large scale Alphabetic and Numerical database supported by
|
Education application is full text analysis of current Dept. of Education ERIC database |
Commercial application is Credit Card company analysing card transactions to discover customer preferences -- market segmentation |
Government application is Patent Office using Semantic Analysis on existing 100 gigabyte database to process new patent claims more accurately |
Defense application has Intelligence officers analysing the World's digitized Newspapers to identify terrorist patterns |
Defense Logistic application analyses operational records to optimize stockpiling of parts and identify unreliable suppliers |
Basic Infovison service uses digital map and elevation data (from Satellites and USGS) combined with 3D rendering to allow interactive journeys
|
Educational application allows teacher to generate historical and cultural multimedia data and allow classes to explore in "virtual field trips" |
Local Government applications allows City Planners to superimpose building CAD data to support wide scale 3D Planning |
Tourist application allows travel agencies to offer virtual trips to potential vacation locations |
Community application offers a full Interactive Yellow Pages |
Defense Application allow Mission planners to navigate potential battlefields to find unexpected hazards and opportunities |
Basic InfoVision Service is Two or Three map superimposed with a set of Image Processing and Spatial Reasoning Tools |
Common tool in systems such as ASAS (All Source Analysis System) is Minimum Path Algorithm |
Commercial Application extends current CDROM based route planning systems such as Automap amnd Mapinfo using GPS if necessary (Global Positioning Satellite) |
Can extend Service to multiple vehicle planning for aircraft and vehicle management |
Defense application couples map, terrain data (which tanks can go in what areas in what weather) to plan and analyse both your and their troop movements |
Basic InfoVision service is a set of spatially labelled Information combined with appropriate decision support tools |
Typical Defense application is a correlation algorithm which clusters electronic and other information into groups which are supposed to come from a single source. This is followed by an identification algorithm which classifies nature and behavor (moving or static) of source |
Health Care application would use medical records and location of patients to plan optimal location of clinics and needed expertise of doctors |
There are several similar commerce (where you you put bank branchs) and community (optimizing government services) applications |
Using a global database, this type of anaysis of spatial data with geographic browsing can be used to study possible export and marketing strategies to choose best countries as targets for a particular product |
Basic InfoVision Service is ability to initiate and display simulations running on appropriate NII servers |
Brokerage application allows trader to invoke several different economic simulations to support real-time trading decisions |
Educational Application allows teacher to access library of Grand Challenge Simulations to illustrate Motion of Hurricanes and other Physical Phenomena (Valuable in all areas of education from K-12 to graduate physics education supported by colliding black hole simulation). |
Defense Application supports Commander with "What-If" simulations for possible battle scenarios. This could be:
|