Basic HTML version of Foils prepared 22 February 97

Foil 7 Scenario Overview - Intelligence Situation

From Command and Control Application Rome Lab Quarterly Review for CIV -- October 1 96. by Jack Kantak, Preston Marshall--Vanguard Research Inc. *

Simulated Intelligence report
States emergence of threat
Establishes the context for all remaining activity
CLASSIFIED
TO: Members of the Concept Action Group
FROM: Director, Intelligence
Subject: Emergence of Immediate Terrorist State Threat to North
America
This memorandum outlines recent intelligence information that has
been made available to this organization.
A terrorist state, supported by a know multi-state terrorist group
has obtained, and is planning to use, a crude missile capability.
This capability consists of a turbo-prop airliner (a Beech 1900 commuter
plane) with Global Positioning System (GPS) navigation and autopilot.
With the fuel it has been modified to carry, it is capable of launching
from the middle east and reaching North America.
Our information is that the aircraft will carry weapons of mass
destruction, of either a chemical or biological nature. We have
confirmed that they have probably obtained both types, and have the
willingness to use them.
Their intent is to demonstrate that they can hold the entire
population of both the U.S. and Canada at risk, and to retaliate for
perceived interference with allied ethnic interests in the Balkans. We
believe that they intend to attack a target in North Western New York,
to threaten Canada, and target deployment support resources at Fort
Drum.
It is important that all involved understand that it is possible that
interception of this aircraft will have a significant impact on the
surrounding populations. The agents present in this weapon may not be
destroyed in an interception, and could be even more widely distributed.
Of course we will pass on any additional information we obtain to the
Group.



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